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GonzoGeek vs. The Oscars 2016:  Best Actress
The Academy Awards are Sunday, so it's time for the (mostly) annual predictions from the revered GonzoGeek panel: Bruce, John, Hunter, Sarah, Rey Swanko, film critic Randall Yelverton, Keith Flippen, working actor/acting instructor at The Actors Place, and Bruce’s copy of WWE 2K13 for Xbox 360

Today: Actress

The Nominees: 

  • Cate Blanchett, Carol (+1600)
  • Jennifer Lawrence, Joy (+1600)
  • Brie Larson, Room (-2000)
  • Charlotte Rampling, 45 Years (+4000)
  • Saoirse Ronan, Brooklyn (+800) 

Odds provided by Bovada (formerly Bodog) on 2/9/16.

BRUCE - Once again, as of this writing, I've seen none of the nominated performances.  I really fell down on the job this year.  I'll do better next year, I promise Internet.  Since I can't draw a squiggly line to any cheesy 70s or 80s movie and I'm just going to go with the odds on favorite.  BRIE LARSON

JOHN - Cate Blanchett already has two Oscars. Make it a hat trick.

HUNTER - For the most part….man…I don’t know. Saoirse Ronan is just delightful in Brooklyn (and I love her and please marry me). And Jennifer Lawrence is Jennifer DAMN Lawrence (and I love her and please marry me). But Brie Larson manages to topple so many different emotions in one film. She basically plays three different women during the course of the movie, and her chemistry with Jacob Tremblay is amazing. Plus, she was Envy Adams in Scott Pilgrim vs. The World…so…I want her to win. (and I love her and please marry me.) BRIE LARSON

SARAH - Saoirse Ronan in Brooklyn was so very. She made shiver and cry. I live for her performance.

REY SWANKO - Cheese Larson for livings in a shed? I think mebee somebody’s should see my first apartments and give me a prize. No Oscaring.

Movings about mops and party planners and they are nots the same movings? Who is making the pickings? No and No.

I talks pretty good Englishes, but am not so goods with the Irishes. Who can know what these peoples are talking? Blah, blah, blarnery stone, blah, blah whiskey, blah, blah I’m drunked. Let’s fight!’ It’s worse than hearings that fish belly Shamus in the rings. No Oscaring! And where was the Jayzee?

Hollywoods always likes the gaysexual ladies, and so do I too! So another award for Carol Blanchett in the ladysexual movie.

RANDALL - Brie Larson

KEITH - Brie Larson for “Room” - It was great watching her protective and mature in one half of the film and her reversion to being free but developmentally frozen in the next half. Though, I did not find her performance as satisfying as that of Soarise Ronan in Brooklyn... probably because I enjoyed Brooklyn as a film more than I enjoyed Room. Okay, so … I am going change my mind and go with Soarise Ronan with Brie Larson as a backup. I think it will hinge on whether voters think that the conflict in ROOM makes a performance more worthy than the much less literally “life or death" conflict in Brooklyn.


- As always, we will be setting up a fatal four way so the nominee with the longest odds gets cut. I was short on time so this year we went with Battle Royal rules. Today we say goodbye to Charlotte Rampling as her odds are ridiculously long given the rest of the field. As for the other nominees...

Cate Blanchett - IMDB on Carol...two women from very different backgrounds who find themselves in an unexpected love affair...sounds like the Rock 'n Sock Connection to me...THE ROCK

Brie Larson - a small movie finds itself in contention for the big one...REY MYSTERIO JR.

Jennifer Lawrence - woman from a troubled family rises above the stigma to become the best at what she does...BRET HART

Saoirse Ronan - Irish...SHEAMUS

The bell rings and the nominees square off.  Larson takes the fight to J-Law and Blanchett squares off with Ronan.  Lots of jockeying for position in the early going.  Lawrence takes Larson down with a clothesline as Blanchett levels Ronan with a hard right.  Then they switch dance partners.

Blanchett nails Larson with a Samoan Drop.  Ronan surprises Lawrence with a suplex off the  top rope.  Blanchett continues the assault on Larson.  No amount of critical acclaim is enough to stave off Blanchett's attack.  As Larson sags in the corner, Blanchett eliminates her with a clothesline.  If you smell what cooking.

Across the ring, J-Law continues her assault on Ronan.  There will be no sleep until Brooklyn is eliminated.  As Blanchett looks on, Lawrence simply dissects Ronan with move after move.  The attack finally ends when Lawrence heaves Ronan to the outside.

We are down to a pair of previous winners.  J-Law charges Blanchett who is waiting.  Blanchett ducks the attack and catches a rebounding Lawrence with a Samoan Drop.  Blanchett pulls Lawrence to her feet only to be staggered with a big elbow.  Lawrence presses the attack and lands a piledriver.  Blanchett looks out on her feet.  Lawrence whips her over the ropes and begins to celebrate...a bit to early.  Blanchett showing elven agility skins the cat and climbs back into the ring.  Lawrence turns right around into a hard right.  The pair exchange blows until Lawrence backs Blanchett into the ropes again.  This time, after a hard clothesline, Blanchett is eliminated.


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